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From: Robert J. Chapman, Ph.D. (chapman@LASALLE.EDU)
Date: Wed May 17 2000 - 14:34:11 EDT

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    Ron - I share your concern about targeting a position and then seeking out
    the statistic to support the desired position. This clearly is the
    antithesis of the scientific method. This being said, however, I can
    appreciate the wish of a health educator to track down a resource that was
    originally cited to advance a particular point. What I think we in the
    health education field need to be particularly careful about is what we do
    with the "cited" information when we find it. For example in the 1991 White
    Paper written by Eigen, an often cited source a few years back regarding
    the impact of drinking on higher education, it was reported that
    "...alcohol is a factor in 34% of all academic problems and 25% of the
    dropouts" (p. 20). Now, we have a reputable document reporting an important
    piece of information likely to turn the heads of many an administrator
    concerned with the cost effectiveness of AOD programming in higher ed and
    bottom lines, yet when we check Eigen's source, these data were
    self-reported in the College Alcohol Survey conducted by Anderson and
    Gadaleto in 1988. Now, I do not wish to diminish the importance of David
    Anderson's work in his regular surveys of colleges, drinking, promising
    practices, etc., but it is something of a leap for a health educator at the
    U of Hard Knocks to go to the Provost and say that 34% of all "our"
    academic problems and 25% of all "our" dropouts are "because" of alcohol
    and then cite Eigen as the source.

    It is important for us health educators to remember the "stat 101" maxim
    that correlations do not imply causation. Even if there are data to support
    the fact that 9 out of 10 rape victims or perpetrators were intoxicated at
    the time of the incident, this correlation in and of itself is not
    definitive evidence that intoxication caused either the victim's or
    perpetrator's behavior. While we can document that intoxication does
    increased the likelihood of a particular behavior for a particular type of
    person (see the literature by Steele and Joseph on "Alcohol Myopia"), we
    cannot make an arbitrary leap and say that alcohol use, or even excessive
    alcohol use, causes rape.

    In summary, we need to be VERY CAREFUL about taking a sound bite from the
    six o'clock news and publishing a brochure that is distributed on campus.
    We need to 1) consider the source of the data, e.g., do they result from an
    empirical investigation or are these survey results/anecdotal information,
    etc.? 2) if an empirical study, we need to consider its design, i.e., was
    it sound and unbiased, was the sample random, etc? were good statistical
    methods employed (for quantitative research)? and 3) not attempt to prove
    causation by citing qualitative research. As important as qualitative
    research may be, it is not designed to prove causation, e.g., 24 students
    from campus "A" report believing "X" therefore "X" must be what all
    students are thinking and the reason why we are going to hell in a
    handbasket.

    The single biggest temptation I must fight in my position as a health
    educator and counselor educator is the temptation once having read an
    interesting article to say, "Ah ha! Now I have the answer." Contrary to
    popular belief, there is no silver bullet to slay the werewolf of high-risk
    drinking, or the "campus phenomenon formerly know as 'binge drinking,'"
    (although I heard this morning that The Artist Formerly Known as Prince has
    now returned from his identity crisis and is again simply referring to
    himself as Prince : )

    Robert

    Robert J. Chapman, Ph.D.
    Coordinator, AOD Programs
    Associate Faculty, Clinical/Counseling Psychology
    La Salle University Counseling Center
    1900 W. Olney Ave.
    Philadelphia, PA 19141-1199
    Phone: 215-951-1355 Fax: 215-951-1451

    mailto:chapman@lasalle.edu
    home page http://www.lasalle.edu/~chapman/home.htm



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